The Russian Northern Fleet has undergone some significant changes since 1989. With the disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991 and extensive political reforms and changes in Russia came the end of the Cold War. There have been numerous disarmament agreements between the United States and Russia, including the START I and START II treaties. Military doctrine in both countries has changed, and a large part of the original military industrial complex is in the process of converting to civilian free-market production. The number of strategic submarines and nuclear warheads has been reduced, and the numbers will probably continue to decrease in the years ahead.
The year 1989 was the year in which the Soviet Navy had its largest number of nuclear submarines in operation ever - 196 in total. Now in 1996, there are 109 nuclear submarines in service, of which 67 belong to the Northern Fleet.[16] Other sources state the total of operational nuclear submarines in the Northern Fleet to be 84.[17] It is this latter number on which the START II treaty bases its overview for the present year. The reason for the difference between the two figures is that a number of nuclear submarines have been laid up without being considered actually out of service. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, western intelligence has always given a higher figure for the number of operational Russian nuclear submarines than correct.[18] The number of operational submarines in the Russian Navy will probably drop to approximately 80 by the year 2003.[19] The proportional allotment of these submarines between the Northern Fleet and the Pacific Fleet is unknown, but it seems most likely that the Northern Fleet will remain the larger of the two for the foreseeable future.
In accordance with the START-II disarmament treaty, the number of strategic missiles on board Northern Fleet submarines will be reduced to a total of 1 750 by the year 2003. Most likely the number will be even smaller. Here a strategic nuclear missile is removed from a Delta-II class submarine at a naval base on the Kola Peninsula. Once their missiles have been removed, the nuclear submarines are then laid up.
Military doctrine has also changed within the Northern Fleet. Once an ocean-going fleet of world-wide influence, its principal mission today is to defend the Russian borders. To illustrate, the patrolling activity of the Northern Fleet in the Atlantic Ocean today has been reduced to 20% of what it used to be only a few years ago.[20]
Prior to the dissolution of the Soviet Union, nuclear submarines of the Soviet Navy patrolled both the East and West Coasts of the United States, the South China Sea and outside the Persian Gulf. Nowadays it is seldom that a Russian nuclear submarine will patrol in any of these waters.[21] Towards the end of 1995, increased Russian submarine activity was registered off the north-western coast of the United States, and Project 971 - Akula class nuclear submarines were discovered in international waters just outside the Bangor Naval Base in Washington state. In 1995 Submarines of the Akula class were also noticed off the east coast of the United States. In the same year, Project 949 A - Oscar-II-class submarines followed American aircraft carriers in both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans on a number of occasions.[22] At the same time, American submarines continue to patrol close into Russian territorial waters outside the Kola Peninsula.[23] A foreign nuclear submarine was discovered off the Kola coast as recently as March 1996.[24]
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Since 1989, the number of naval vessels in the Northern Fleet has been reduced by 40%. In addition, numerous ships have been placed on reserve, including a number of nuclear submarines. The number of crew has been reduced, and the Northern Fleet staff has been reorganised.[25] All of the first generation nuclear submarines (November, Echo, and Hotel classes) and 60 % of the second generation vessels (Victor, Charlie, Yankee, and Delta) classes are no longer in service. The number of surface ships in the Northern Fleet has been dramatically reduced, but only the oldest and most worn out of the vessels have been taken out of service altogether. According to Russian naval authorities, there are no plans to develop any further generations of nuclear submarines[26]. However, the fourth generation of nuclear submarines, the Severodvinsk class, is presently under development and will probably enter service in 1998.[27]
Large parts of the former Soviet military industry are scheduled to be converted to civilian production, and the naval shipyards are no exception. Construction of nuclear submarines has halted at three of the four yards that formerly had this task. Other shipyards that used to build vessels for the navy now lie outside Russia's borders, including the shipyards at Sevastopol, Nikolaev, and Kerch which are all in the Ukraine. The construction of the new nuclear-powered battle cruiser Pyotr Veliky at the Baltiyskaya yard in St. Petersburg was postponed for several years until it finally underwent sea trials for the first time towards the end of 1995.
The Northern Fleet lacks the funds to carry out the necessary servicing and maintenance on its operational submarines. Subsequently, many of them remain in port.[28] For lack of servicing, the Northern Fleet's two nuclear-powered battle cruisers Admiral Ushakov and Admiral Nakhimov also remained in port for the whole of 1994 and 1995. Admiral Ushakov has not been at sea since sustaining machine damage in 1991, while Admiral Nakhimov has been moored for the last three years. Both ships are based in Severomorsk.[29] The Northern Fleet Command asserts that the lack of maintenance on the nuclear submarines and other naval vessels leads to an inability to fulfil the terms of the present military doctrine.[30]
In 1994, only 35% of the funds especially earmarked for the Northern Fleet, were actually transferred.[31] According to the 1994 budget, 600 billion roubles should have been transferred to the Northern Fleet, but this was never actually done.[32] The funds that were transferred went largely to pay wages and to cover social services for Northern Fleet personnel. 1995 was an even harder year than 1994. Due to high inflation, the Northern Fleet's entire annual budget was spent within the first six months of the year,[33] forcing severe cutbacks on the operation and maintenance of ships and naval bases.[34] On several occasions, the payment of wages was delayed, and this resulted in naval officers refusing to go to sea on patrol duty. There have been several instances over the past two years where the Northern Fleet was obliged to recruit officers from various neighbouring bases in order to assemble a crew for a ship due to go out on patrol. At times, even the nuclear submarines have been sent out on patrol without the full complement of officers.[35] It has become quite common that officers are not paid when they go on vacation. In 1995, the wages of naval officers at Zapadnaya Litsa for the months of June, July and August were not paid until September. Even now in 1996, the wages for the first months of the year were delayed for several months.[36]
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At present, the Northern Fleet is unable to pay for the services formerly provided by the state. Many of the companies and shipyards whose services are directed towards the activities of the Northern Fleet receive no economic assistance from the state either, and must try to survive according to the economic principles of the free market. In January 1996, the Northern Fleet owed 40 billion roubles in wages to workers at the various shipyards and other factories. The Northern Fleet's total debt to the shipyards is in the realm of 200 billion roubles.[37]
On September 21, 1995, the power company Kolenergo shut off electricity to the naval base Gadzhievo as well as to the weapons storagefacilities there. This action was precipitated by a long-standing unpaid electricity bill amounting to about 4.5 million USD. Power was restored again 40 minutes later when the Northern Fleet sent armed guards to the transformer station.[38] The Northern Fleet Command later stated that never again would Kolenergo dare to shut off the power.[39] On September 26, the power was again shut off for 20 minutes, this time at the military shipyard Sevmorput.[40]
Admiral Yerofeev has suggested a number of measures by which the Northern Fleet might earn funds and improve its economic condition until the political situation in Russia stabilises. For example, the Northern Fleet could sell a number of its ships to other countries and retain for itself the proceeds of the sale. Training of the crew for these ships could also raise income for the Northern Fleet. However, according to present rules, this kind of extra income can only be used towards welfare or social benefits for the officers.[41]
Another way to improve the financial situation would be to permit the naval shipyards to carry out the dismantling of naval vessels and sell the salvaged metals for scrap. The Northern Fleet is also considering renting/leasing to non-military research institutions engaged in scientific research in the Arctic region. For example, in June 1995, Germany used one of the Northern Fleet's Delta-III submarines to launch an experimental rocket. The launch took place just outside the Gremikha naval base in the southern part of the Barents Sea. The experimental rocket was launched from a depth of 50 meters on an RSM-50 (SS-N-18) type booster. This type of booster was originally designed to launch nuclear warheads, but is now obsolete. The German experimental launch was the second such venture for the Northern Fleet; the first took place in 1994. On this occasion, the Northern Fleet worked with the Russian space centre, and was only paid for the time that the submarine was in use. However, the Northern Fleet was willing to accept these terms, for it presented an opportunity to train the crew in an unusual exercise, an opportunity they would not otherwise have had.[42]
In August 1995, a Northern Fleet Project 671 RTM submarine (Victor-III class) was used to transport potatoes and fruit from the Kola Peninsula to the Yamal Peninsula on the northern coast of Siberia. The missiles had been removed from the missile compartment to increase the cargo space for potatoes.[43] The concept of using military nuclear submarines to transport civilian cargo is under further study, thus there have been no conclusions. The Russian Navy emphasises that the use of military vessels for civilian commissions is only intended as a temporary stopgap in the transitional period until the economic situation has stabilised.[44]
Other opportunities may arise with the development of the oil and gas fields in the Arctic seas. Nuclear submarines could possibly be used in geological studies and to transport oil. The Moscow-based company Sudoexport has presented plans to rebuild nuclear submarines into civilian oil tankers.[45] The transport route would run from the oil terminals along the northern coast of Siberia and Arkhangelsk County to various oil ports. Each submarine is estimated to have a carrying capacity of 830 tons and with a crew of 35 men. For entry into the harbours of countries that either prohibit or do not desire visits from nuclear-powered vessels, the diesel engines could be used inside the harbour areas. The same company has also presented plans to rebuild nuclear submarines into civilian container ships.[46] Transport routes of particular interest are the passages from Northern Europe to Asia. The submarine's ability to travel submerged makes it independent of ice conditions at sea and permits an even more rapid transit time between east and west. Potential cargo capacity is estimated to be 20 containers with a cargo of 900 m³. Tourist cruises in the north on board nuclear submarines have also been considered.
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Plans exist to rebuild military nuclear submarines into civilian oil tanker submarines for use especially in the development of new oil fields along the coast of Siberia. The oil tanker submarines would be used in waters impassable to ordinary oil tankers due to the ice conditions.
Until 1991, Soviet submarine crews were trained at three different training centres within the Soviet Union: Paldiski in Estonia, Sevastopol in the Ukraine, and Sosnovy Bor outside St. Petersburg. The training centre in Sevastopol was the largest of the three and operated highly advanced computer and reactor simulators, turning out 500 submarine officers a year.[47] However, ever since the Ukraine achieved independence, the Russian Navy has not utilised this centre. Of all Soviet specialists and operators of naval reactors, 80 percent of them received their training at the naval college in Sevastopol, while the remaining 20 percent were trained at the Dzerzhinsky Naval College in St. Petersburg.[48]
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Two mock submarines were built in Paldiski, to represent both the first and second generations (Project 667 BR - Delta-I class and Project 659 - Echo-II class), and each one had a functional naval reactor installed. The Paldiski reactors were shut down in 1989 and both the reactors and the mock submarines are now being dismantled.[49] Officers for the Project 941-Typhoon class, 667 A - Yankee class and 667 BDRM - Delta I-IV classes were also trained at Paldiski.[50]
The naval training college in Sosnovy Bor outside St. Petersburg has three operational experimental reactors very similar to those installed in the nuclear submarines. Testing of nuclear fuel and the development of naval reactor technology is carried out here. A fourth research reactor is being built.[51] All training of crews and service personnel for nuclear submarines now takes place at Dzerzhinsky Naval College in St. Petersburg. The college has a rather limited capacity, and this has contributed to an overall reduction in the competence of Russian nuclear submarine crews.
The lack of sufficient funds to keep the nuclear submarine fleet running has led to present day officers receiving far less training in operational routines than was the case a few years ago. Furthermore, the deteriorating social conditions and low wages for officers of the Northern Fleet result in fewer and fewer of them electing to renew their five year contracts with the navy, and the heavy turnover of officers reduces the overall level of competence even further.[52]
The Russian naval officer of today has fallen from being one of the most privileged members of Soviet society to one whose work is far less valued. The 1990s have brought dramatic changes in the social conditions of the Soviet naval officer, few of which have been positive. With the severe cuts in the Russian Navy's budget, special privileges and welfare benefits for navy personnel and shipyard workers have also been sharply reduced.[53] The naval shipyards which once worked under state directives, now operate as independent tax-paying entities who depend on the Navy remunerating the work that has been commissioned. Some of the ship repair crews have not been paid for several months.[54] Due to a lack of financing, much of the former activity has come to a standstill. As a result, the yard infrastructure is slowly falling apart.[55] Subsequently, safety levels in the maintenance of both operational as well as inactive submarines are being compromised. One of the more serious breaches in safety is the failure to properly maintain the storage facilities for spent nuclear fuel and radioactive waste. Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Fleet, Admiral Oleg Yerofeev stated in April 1995 that "the problems of storing spent nuclear fuel, radioactive waste, inactive submarines and the lack of servicing for the submarines in active service are a problem not only for the Northern Fleet, but also for the Russian state. Therefore, it would be natural not only for the Fleet to take necessary action, but also for the Ministry for Situations of Emergency, Emercom, also to act. If measures are not taken to address the situation today, over a period of time the situation could become critical and lead to an ecological disaster."[56]
Footnotes