Election 2008 Special: Environmental figure heavy in East Coast voters minds as they cast ballots for Obama on election day

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A school gymnasium in western Massachusetts read to take early morning voters on November 4th.
Bellona
NEW YORK/MASSACHUSETTS - Oil companies and coal-fired power plant operators would be the likely losers if Democrats expand their majorities in the US Congress and Barack Obama wins the White House. The beginning of a Republican backed nuclear build would also be stemmed as an Obama administration studies safer on-site storage options for spent nuclear fuel. Charles Digges, 04/11-2008 Obama leads nationally on election day here in the United States by 3 to 7 percentage points over Republican candidate John McCain, according polling data compiled by RealClearPolitics.com.

Voters gathered at polling stations early election-day morning in Massachusetts and New York – territory dotted with placards and bumper stickers for Obama – who openly said they planed to punch their ballots for the democratic candidate, said concerns for the environment weighed heavy in their decisions. They also showed a high awareness that new energy ideas could be part of the engine to drive America out of its financial doldrums.
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Barack Obama's environmental policy changes are on the minds of East Coast voters on Election day.
(Foto: Wikimedia)

Their comments reflect that many Americans are not as far behind the progressive energy ideas driving European Union policy as the world might think.

“Obama seems to be up with a plan that would get alternative energy growing, and that would create jobs too,” said Philip Shelby, 44, a plumbing contractor from Western Massachusetts. “Most people here are pretty tired of watching climate change be ignored, especially when there is a monetary incentive to do something about it, especially in this economy.”

Americans tired of looking ‘stupid’
Ann Scott, a 58-year-old investment consultant, also of Western Mass, agreed. “In everything from energy to foreign policy, the rest of the world thinks American is stupid, stupid,” she said. “If we wake up under another republican presidency, the country and the environment will be the poorer for it.”

Farther north in Western Massachusetts, close to the Vermont border and the aging Yankee Nuclear Power Plant, voters were putting their money on alternative energy too.
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Vermont Yankee’s proposed 20-year extension is the subject of hot debate in New England.
http://www.vpirg.org/

Vermont Yankee, which is slated to close down in 2012, is the subject of intense debate in New England over a proposed 20-year engineering life extension plan.

“I am not sure how an Obama presidency would shut the door on that, but we have known for a good long time that this is an area rich in possibilities for biofuel and alternative energy type installations,” said Charles Richmond, 36, a professor at Williams College. “And there is plenty of space for solar panels.”

“Anything is better that letting Yankee run on,” said Jessica Steinholtz, a 19-year-old college student voting in her first election. “We are powered by coal fired plants on this side of the (Massachusetts/Vermont) border that could be helped by carbon capture mechanisms that Europe is experimenting with.”  

Across the border in the less well-heeled agricultural communities of Upstate New York, where Obama/Biden yard signs are evident in about one out of every five yards in corn producing towns like Kinderhook and Austerlitz, the call for alternative fuels is high.

“Ethanol, hybrids, solar power, natural gas heat - all of this is stuff we can produce or make use of around here,” said Alan Thurber, 42, a farmer who says oils costs have nearly bankrupted farms – both for heating and machinery - in this part of the state.

“We’re willing to try anything at this point, and a shift in energy policy from Detroit (the seat of America’s automobile industry) and Saudi Arabia to things we can easily produce right here in this little town,” he said.

An Obama presidency would indeed put the burden of producing conventional energy on the producers themselves, and he has called for a windfall tax on oil company profits and for cutting the greenhouse-gas emissions produced by coal-fired plants.

Energy Industry winners under Obama
Winners under expanded Democratic rule would include solar companies, wind companies, biofuel makers, plug-in hybrid vehicles, smart-grid and natural-gas companies.

"There seems to be no doubt that more support will be given to alternative energy than exists today," Lazard Capital Markets analysts wrote in a recent research paper. "Most congressional candidates are running on energy platforms, so renewables are likely to remain at the forefront of the policy debate for the foreseeable future."
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Former US Vice-President and Nobel Laureate Al Gore.

The energy shift would come amid a Democratic focus on combating global warming, led chiefly by former democratic vice president Al Gore. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said last year that heat waves, heavy rains, and hurricanes would likely become more intense as the climate warmed. The IPCC and Gore shared this year’s Nobel Peace Prize.

The IPCC has said the world must cut emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere by 50 percent to 85 percent by 2050 to limit the damage.

Obama in late September promised his administration would put the United States, among the world’s largest greenhouse gas producers, on track for an 80 percent cut in climate gas emissions by 2050.

“This is something the UN is saying is a good idea and they won a Nobel Prize for it, for Christ’s sake” said Nora Burns, 32, in Western Massachusetts, who turned out with her two young children to vote in a hybrid Toyota Prius.

“The McCain-Palin ticket is pretty much denying that such cuts are possible because (vice-presidential candidate Sarah) Palin refuses admit that human beings caused this – that is just backward thinking,” she said.

Her comments echoed those of Richard Howard, a 51-year-old insurance adjuster of New York.  

“The environmental portion of my vote is something I think we owe the rest of the world after eight years of totally screwed up foreign policy,” he said.

With power plants accounting for about 40 percent of US carbon-dioxide emissions, the power industry faces the starkest consequences from federal climate-change legislation that would force polluters to pay for emissions.  

The energy industry losers
Companies hit hardest would include Duke Energy Corporation, which describes itself as the third-largest coal user in the country, burning about 46 million tons a year. Coal-fired power plants produce about half of the country's electricity, according to Dow Jones financial newswire.

Oil companies including Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Royal Dutch Shell, and BP would also be hit under a plan to impose a tax on windfall profits. Though Obama hasn't spelled out the details, Senate Democrats earlier this year pushed legislation that would subject oil companies to a 25 percent tax on windfall profits related to the surge in crude oil prices, US media have reported.

No overnight changes – but voters seem willing to wait
Changes won’t be immediate. Obama's transition team had been considering hosting a "green summit" shortly after he assumes office, Obama campaign advisors have said in an email interviews with Bellona Web.

Early on, an Obama administration will have to deal with many energy issues. The US Supreme Court in April 2007 found that greenhouse gases are pollutants under the Clean Air Act.

That leaves the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to decide whether the emissions pose a danger to the public and should be regulated. The EPA will have to make a finding, something an Obama administration hopes to use as a tool to persuade Congress to begin taking action.

An Obama administration would also be confronted with decisions about vehicle fuels. Obama has called for establishing a low-carbon fuel standard, in which fuel suppliers would have to steadily reduce the carbon in their fuels, members of Obama’s campaign team have said in interviews with Bellona Web over the past several days.  

Where Obama may falter

Obama's promises to support clean-coal technology will be tested. His vow to keep coal part of the fuel mix is at odds with government forecasts that mandatory cuts in greenhouse-gas emissions would likely lead to the boarding up of hundreds of coal-fired power plants, reduce demand for coal, and destroy jobs.

Obama’s vision assumes that the US Energy Department will team up with private industry to invest in carbon capture and storage technology, an expensive project given that the US posted a $438 billion deficit in fiscal 2008, representing about 3.1 percent of the country's economic output, Dow Jones said. 

"We can't afford to shut down all the coal fired power plants," said Sanjay Shrestha, an analyst at Lazard. But carbon-capture and storage technology isn't an immediate solution because "it will take some time before that ends up becoming viable."

Yet Massachusetts voter Amy Springer, 25, said many people are probably willing to wait.

“The Bush years are something that acted on immediate impulse – no long term planning was involved in anything,” she said.

“To get things back on track will take planning, and I am willing to wait.”

Nuclear power is another question mark. Obama's campaign says the US is unlikely to meet targets for greenhouse-gas emissions reductions without nuclear power – even though there are ready options that the campaign has, by its own admission, not fully studied yet.  

But Obama vociferously opposes the storage of nuclear waste at the proposed facility at Yucca Mountain. His plan involves more study of long- term disposal issues and envisions that for now, waste would continue to be stored at current locations around the country.

Sunshine for alternative energy
Solar power and wind companies could be among the biggest winners given that an Obama administration wants to require that 10 percent of electricity come from renewable sources by 2012, and 25 percent by 2025. At least two dozen states have renewable-electricity requirements, though Obama would accelerate those mandates in some states and extend the requirements for the first time to parts of the Midwest and the Southeast.

Natural-gas companies would also benefit. The Obama campaign calls for looking at ways to speed up drilling for natural gas in an area know as the Barnett shale, which covers parts of Texas.

“We are hoping to break a lot of old traditions and wheel spinning policies in this election,” said Robin Johanssen, 72, in Massachusetts.

“This country needs fresh ideas like we need oxygen – and I prefer my oxygen to be clean. It’s time for a new deal.”

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